Hobocode · Counter-hate Monitor

Hobocode Counter-hate Monitor

How we decide what counts as hate, how bad it is, and who we watch for it

This is the operating manual for a public instrument: the tests a post has to pass before we call it hate, the model we use to follow a narrative from first spark to decay, and the rules that govern which accounts we watch and why.

This section animates one worked example in eight steps: the post, the target, the implied claim, the technique, the decision, the score, the bridge, and the verdict. Each step's full text is in the captions that follow.

The method in practice

Follow one post through the method

The post, the account, and the match below are invented, and no real person is quoted. Every step applies the method exactly as the full text specifies it.

1 / 8 · Collection

The post

Minutes after a match ends, this lands in a monitored stream. None of its words is a slur, and each clause on its own could pass for ordinary post-match anger. This is the region of language the method exists for: the place where legitimate criticism and coded hostility look identical on the surface (§5).

@▮▮▮▮▮▮21:47 · matchday

Typical. Every single one of them cheats, it’s who they are. Send them all back.

item #4127 · open-stream collection
2 / 8 · The gate

The target

The first question concerns the target. Criticism of a team’s conduct, however harsh, is protected and stays that way. Here, though, “them” resolves to the losing side’s nationality, which is a protected basis. From this point the burden of proof sits on the hate call (§5.1).

3 / 8 · Articulability

The implied claim

Before we flag anything, the implied claim has to be statable in plain form: they are dishonest by nature. If producing that sentence required adding hostility the text fails to supply, the item would be classed as criticism and dropped. In this case the sentence assembles from the words on the page (§5.1).

4 / 8 · Coded language

The technique

We name specific, testable techniques. This item carries three: a dispositional “they” that turns behavior into essence, collective attribution that expands one accusation to a whole people, and a policy warrant that converts the trait into a demand. That is the recode ladder climbing from behavior to trait to nationality to policy (§5.3, §4).

5 / 8 · Adjudication

The decision

A classifier surfaced this item, and we treat its verdict as advisory, setting its self-reported confidence aside entirely. On a representative day of real traffic, automated hate detection averages 9.4% precision against the 87% that curated benchmarks suggest, so a human reads the item in full context and sets the confidence judgment (§5.5).

6 / 8 · Severity

The score

We score severity on five anchored factors, reach, toxicity, coordination, mainstreaming risk, and harm potential, and combine them with a geometric mean, so a narrative has to be bad on several axes at once to rank high. This item scores low on reach and coordination, and its base score is 1.9. The harm weighting engages because the item cleared Track A, and on numbers this mild it barely moves the score, so the item logs at P4: recorded and watched passively, kept out of the daily queue by design (§8).

7 / 8 · Coordination

The bridge

Overnight, two similar posts appear. Their timing is scattered, they share no coined term or fabricated detail, and no account links them, so this is convergence: independent people reacting to the same event on their own. A coordination verdict requires a confirmed bridge account (§9).

8 / 8 · Publication

The verdict

We publish the aggregate: one more item in a tracked narrative, currently at the framing-contest stage. We reserve naming for public figures and organized networks, so this small private account stays out of print. The subject of the monitoring is the narrative (§1, §12).

That was one pass through the whole pipeline. The full methodology holds every rule we used and the evidence behind each one.

Hobocode Counter-hate Monitor. We revise this methodology as our detection, scoring, and reach-measurement practice changes; it is the same standard we apply to every Weather Report bulletin and special report.