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HOBOCODE COUNTER-HATE MONITOR Special report · No. 1 · July 2026

Antisemitism spread widest, and Islamophobia cut deepest

We tracked 925 accounts, along with the legislatures, courts, and agencies around them, for hate aimed at Jewish, Muslim, and Christian people between January 1 and July 20, 2026. Widest is a count: 39 of the 59 confirmed items target Jewish people. Deepest is severity: every script that reached P1, our top tier, targets Muslims.

925accounts checked
59confirmed items
16institutional actions scored
3top-tier severity scripts, all anti-Muslim
Antisemitism 39 of 59 confirmed items target Jewish people

Most of it repeats a single narrative

26 of the 59 items run the identical story: a hidden, coordinated Jewish hand behind events with an unrelated real cause. Fuentes runs it for a million followers, Jones three times in three months, Owens for six million subscribers, and a candidate ran it inside California's state-mailed voter guide. None of them cite each other.

Islamophobia 3 scripts at P1, our top severity tier

The most severe material came from institutions

The largest cluster is institutional: between February and June, the claim that Sharia law is an active governing threat moved through a House hearing, a Senate bill, a signed Florida law, a state attorney general's action, and a 94.8 percent party primary vote. Robinson's mass-deportation speech reached 36 million documented views.

Anti-Christian 0 items from our dedicated 38-account anti-Christian lane

Very little at the account level

Our dedicated 38-account anti-Christian lane produced nothing all half-year. The one account-level item came from ISIS's own spokesman. The anti-Christian hostility we could document appears in physical events, nine attacks and threats, mostly in Nigeria, and in institutional advocacy that stays inside protected speech.

Reach

The audiences we could measure directly

These are the audience sizes of the accounts themselves, counted only where a direct, verifiable figure exists. When the only available number describes a news outlet that covered an item rather than the account that produced it, we leave it out of this list and label it as an outlet figure in the case files.

In their own words

Six exhibits

Exhibit 01 · State documentApr 2026
Non-Jews described as "goyim (less than human animals/cattle)" who Jews "will enslave," in a gubernatorial candidate's statement printed in California's official primary voter guide and mailed statewide.
California Secretary of State's office, distributor; statement by candidate Don J. Grundmann
Hidden handstate-mailed, statewide
Exhibit 02 · LivestreamMar 2026
The war was fought "for Greater Israel... against the Jewish enemy, the Amalekites," casting a live military operation as religiously motivated Jewish aggression.
Nick Fuentes, days after the US-Israel strikes on Iran began
Hidden handaudience 1M+ followers
Exhibit 03 · Broadcast2026
Jewish people are "pagan gypsies... wearing the cloak of Judaism."
Candace Owens, to her YouTube audience
Criminality / contamination6M+ subscribers
Exhibit 04 · Senate statementFeb 2026
"Sharia Law is not a religion; it is a death cult and has no place in this country."
Sen. Tommy Tuberville, introducing the Defeat Sharia Law in America Act with Sen. John Cornyn
Sharia-threat scriptUS Senate
Exhibit 05 · Rally speech2026
He "would stop Islam" if he ran the country; a month later, a call to deport more than half of Britain's Muslim population.
Tommy Robinson, London crowd of roughly 60,000; the second speech reposted by Elon Musk
Replacement / invasion36M documented views
Exhibit 06 · Terror communiqueFeb 2026
"Continue your attacks, o heroic lions, against crusader and Jewish targets everywhere."
Abu Hudhayfah al-Ansari, ISIS official spokesman, via MEMRI; the one account-level item targeting Christians
Redemptive strugglecalling for violence

The rates

Which categories produced this content

Share of each category's membership-verified accounts that produced at least one confirmed item this half-year. The raw numbers sit beside each bar. Click a bar, or focus it and press Enter, to open that category's case files.

Severity

How the seventeen scripts score

Each confirmed item is assigned to a narrative script. Each script is scored on reach, toxicity, coordination, mainstreaming, and harm potential. Click one for its scorecard.

The paper trail

The same scripts moved through institutions

Dated, sourced actions by legislatures, agencies, officials, and institutional actors. Click a row for the quote and source. Rows marked scored cleared our bar for a confirmed item; rows marked context are related events that did not.

Case files

All 59 confirmed items

Click a row for the quote, the coding, and the source.

Method

How this was built

The roster and the two tiers

The roster holds 925 accounts across 23 ideological categories, each admitted through a documented selection procedure with two gates: a verifiable qualifying act or verified membership in the category's ideological current, plus independent standing. A confirmed account has a documented, dated act of hate on record, useful for tracking that account over time, and a poor basis for comparing categories, since it was pre-selected on the thing being measured. A lane account is verified as belonging to the category's ideological current, with no prior-hit requirement. Every comparative rate on this page uses lane accounts only.

What counts as a hit

Language that collectivizes, dehumanizes, or calls for exclusion of a religious group. We apply a stated-claim test: the implied claim has to be statable as "group are/do predicate." Criticizing a movement, a policy, a government, or a named person over their own conduct stays protected, in every lane, symmetrically. An official attacked over their exercise of official power reads as a proxy for their political camp, and language that does collectivizing work through that proxy is scored accordingly.

The severity score

Five factors, each scored 1 to 5: reach (R), how many people the item plausibly got in front of; toxicity (T), how dehumanizing the language itself is; coordination (C), whether carriers are actually working together; mainstreaming risk (M), how close the item sits to institutions and large audiences; and harm potential (H), how directly it points toward real-world harm. They combine as (R·T·C·M1.3·H1.5)1/5.8: multiply all five, with mainstreaming risk raised to the 1.3 power and harm potential to the 1.5 power because those two carry the most real-world weight, then take the 5.8th root. The 5.8 is the sum of the weights (1 + 1 + 1 + 1.3 + 1.5), which brings the result back onto the 1-to-5 scale. Multiplying instead of adding means no single factor can carry a score alone. Priority tiers: P1 at 4.0 and above, P2 from 3.0, P3 from 2.0, P4 below.

Reach, and where it's a proxy

Reach uses the first real number available, in order: a direct post metric, a show-average, domain traffic, follower count. Some figures measure the reporting outlet rather than the actor's own audience, and each case file labels which it has. Fuentes's follower figure traces to Wikipedia rather than a live platform pull. Three implausible domain figures were dropped rather than repaired. Where nothing citable existed, the item says so.

Verification, and disclosed edges

Every item rests on an independently fetchable, dated source read in full, never a headline or a screenshot taken on faith. Items that failed re-verification were removed entirely. Disclosed edges in this dataset: the Albanese statement rests on a single outlet so far; the Texas primary proposition is a non-binding party ballot measure, counted as part of a documented push rather than as law; the institutional scan concentrated on the United States and Nigeria, so its counts are not global.

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HOBOCODE COUNTER-HATE MONITOR · Online Hate Narrative Monitor methodology · Window: January 1 to July 20, 2026 · Words by Jerm, edited by Claude