This is the record for Monday 5 October to Sunday 11 October 2026, and the latest post in it is stamped 23:59 UTC on Sunday 11 October. The 1,034-account roster is the frame we track, and the collection combines the roster-linked timelines on X and Bluesky, the two boards and a Bluesky network search: 15,800 posts fall inside the window, 7,850 of them from X, 5,821 from Bluesky and 2,129 opening posts from the two boards, beside 329 news rows. Every finding below describes that monitored sample. The ledger holds 714 confirmed items, one to a url, and no script on it reached the top tier. In the same record, 47 items are coded as calls for violence or for removal by force, a rung that takes in named programs of compulsory removal such as remigration. 20 are anonymous board threads. 27 come from 12 accounts, eleven on X and one on Bluesky whose handle we withhold, and about half of the 27 rest on an inference recorded with the coding. LauraLoomer supplies 6, TRobinsonNewEra 5 and Steve_Laws_ 4, and NaomiSeibt, JackPosobiec and EvaVlaar 2 each; most of their calls demand remigration or deportation by origin. One is by Elon Musk, who owns X: on 8 October he quote-posted a post demanding “draconian punishment upon the restoration of patriotic government” for anyone facilitating the entry of small-boat migrants, and wrote “Yes, they are traitors aiding an invasion and they deserve the fate of traitors”. We code it as a call, read through a stated inference, for the punishment of the officials who enable small-boat arrivals. That post carries the largest impression count in this record. Donald Trump, the President of the United States, carries three scripts: France’s school protests as “Islam wanting to take over a once great Country!”, Michigan’s Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed as one of the “Dumocrat Jihadists”, and Somali immigrants in Minnesota, in a post closing “The people of Minnesota must fight back.”, which we code threatening because “fight back” names no act of harm. Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister, told a conference in Jerusalem that there “are not and cannot be any rights in the land of Israel for a people that do not exist”, speaking of Palestinian people. Of the 41 ranked scripts, 13 stand in the second tier and 28 in the third, with a median of 2.8, and three share the peak of 3.6. Every one of the 49 scripts carries the verdict no coordination identified, and together they carry 60,128,597 platform-reported impressions, the sum of the counters as captured at collection.
The ledger holds 714 confirmed items, one to a url. 658 of them sit in the 49 scripts, and the 56 items that match no script stand outside the ranking. The rungs run stigmatizing 370, hateful 150, biased 83, calling for violence 47, threatening 42 and glorifying violence 22, which accounts for all 714. The calling-for-violence rung takes in expulsion by force: under our expulsion line, a named program of compulsory removal by origin, such as remigration, sits on it. Of the 47 calls, 20 are anonymous board threads, and their targets are communists, MAGA supporters, a population one poster frames as communist, migrants and non-white people, white men with Asian and Latina wives, Muslim people, Jewish people, gay, lesbian and transgender people, Indian and Hindu people, racial minorities, Russian people, gay and Black people in California, atheist people and American people. Five of the twenty ask for the killing of Indian and Hindu people. The other 27 come from 12 accounts, and 13 of them rest on an inference recorded with the coding. LauraLoomer supplies six: three demands that every Somali person in the United States be deported, “Deport every single Arab from America.”, “the only way this will end is removing Muslims from America with military force and bulldozing mosques, or a civil war”, which sets out removal by military force as the only end to Muslim people’s presence, a “solution” in the rung’s own definition, and “Can we start using military force against the jihadists roaming the streets of Capitol Hill?”, read through a stated inference that the people meant are Muslim people in Washington. TRobinsonNewEra supplies five remigration demands, among them “Remigration and de-islamisation is the only solution.” on 9 October. Steve_Laws_ supplies four: on 6 October, over a video he presents as sectarian violence, “Sectarian violence is the inevitable outcome if remigration is ignored. ... No more Immigrants. Deport them all.”, in his own words; “Scenes like this will be nationwide when the public realise it’s the only way that works.” on 7 October; “Total remigration means TOTAL remigration. They all must go.” on 9 October; and on 11 October, rewriting a viral post about a man’s death at a wildlife park, “You mean to tell me there’s no one on standby to shoot/tranquillise the invaders in these kind of instances ?” The last three rest on a stated inference drawn from his own posts. NaomiSeibt supplies two remigration posts on 11 October, JackPosobiec two on 5 October, among them “REMIGRATION IS THE ONLY WAY FORWARD” over the Gosport landings, and EvaVlaar two, among them “It’s Remigration or riots.” Six accounts supply one each: Tom Van Grieken, who chairs the Belgian party Vlaams Belang, with “Tijd voor remigratie”, time for remigration; AuronMacintyre, answering the Mall of America charge with “Deport all Muslims currently in America on visa”; Lauren Witzke, the 2020 Republican nominee for the Senate in Delaware, asking that transgender people, read from the post she quoted, be punished “by removing body parts and live streaming the entire event”; TheGloriousLion, on the force of the state that remigration will take; a Bluesky reply asking that members of a group its author identifies as Israeli people be killed, unarmed people included; and Elon Musk. The post Musk quoted answered a Sun story about a small-boat arrival’s sexual crime against two girls. Its author wrote in the same thread that the punishment demand is also Rupert Lowe’s position, and Lowe’s own posts say a Restore Britain government would prosecute and imprison the politicians, civil servants and officials who enable the arrivals. Reading “they” as those officials and politicians, proxies for the governing camp, is the inference we record. The post Musk endorsed sets the punishment “upon the restoration of patriotic government”: an incoming government punishing the outgoing government’s politicians and officials as a body, which marks a political camp for punishment as a class. Our political-outgroup track admits a target that is a party or a proxy for one, and its eliminationist register counts language whose end state is the removal, imprisonment or destruction of the outgroup, so the coding holds whether “the fate of traitors” means execution or the imprisonment Lowe’s posts name.
No script reached the top tier. Of the 41 ranked scripts, 13 stand in the second tier and 28 in the third; the peak priority score (EPS) is 3.6 and the median is 2.8. Three scripts share the peak. The first marks members of opposing political camps for death, execution or mass imprisonment: Elon Musk’s quote post carries most of its measured impressions, Rupert Lowe, a sitting MP who leads Restore Britain, pledged on 5 and 7 October that the officials who admit small-boat arrivals will be prosecuted and imprisoned, TRobinsonNewEra wrote three times on 7 October that traitors will pay, and four board threads ask for communists to be curb-stomped, a population framed as communist to be wiped out and MAGA supporters to be locked up or publicly executed, and two more presuppose or forecast the deaths of MAGA supporters. The second, the replacement and removal script, is the largest in the record at 78 items: RadioGenoa supplies the most of them and TRobinsonNewEra the largest share of its impressions, and 21 of them sit at the calling-for-violence rung, most of them remigration demands. The third reads Muslim presence as a takeover, from the President’s France post and RadioGenoa’s captions calling London, France and Amsterdam caliphates to Rupert Lowe’s promise to “reverse the islamification of Britain” and LauraLoomer’s call for military force on Capitol Hill. Our anchors set harm potential at its top value where a script holds a concrete call for violence against a defined group, and a script there takes a second-tier minimum whatever its computed score. Ten scripts reach that value. Six reach the second tier on their computed scores: the three peak scripts; the denial to Muslim people of a place in Western countries; the celebration of the killing of Jewish people, on a board thread asking why white Ukrainian soldiers do not turn their rifles on Jewish people; and the praise of violence against migrant housing, whose two calls are Steve_Laws_’s and both rest on a stated inference. Four take the tier from the minimum: gay, lesbian and transgender people marked for punishment, mutilation or death, on three board posts citing scripture and Lauren Witzke’s post; and three scripts board threads alone carry, the killing of Indian and Hindu people, the killing of Black and non-white people, and the deaths of Russian people welcomed. The 8 board-only scripts have no impression count to read; they are scored on four measurable factors and ranked in a list of their own. Five second-tier scripts sit at 4 on harm potential with no call inside them: the President’s Minnesota post; his two posts on Abdul El-Sayed; the denial of belonging by descent, where Steve_Laws_ answered Kemi Badenoch, who leads the Conservative Party, with “She is an African and her children are not English.”; the sexual-menace script, where TRobinsonNewEra told coach companies and hotels housing asylum seekers to “expect to be exposed”; and the violence assigned to Muslim people as a group, with LauraLoomer’s calls for bans on Muslim entry and Muslim pilots.
Eleven scripts carry a head of state, a minister, a party leader, a sitting member of parliament or the owner of a platform speaking in his own words, and those eleven are the scripts whose mainstreaming factor sits at 5. The President carries three of them, in four posts on Truth Social that reach the record through reports in Newsweek, TheWrap and Just the News and carry no impression count. On 6 October, as the French Interior Ministry counted about 266,000 people at school-conditions protests, he wrote “What’s happening in France is nothing less than out of control mass migration. This isn’t about schools, this is about Islam wanting to take over a once great Country!” On 6 and 7 October he cast Abdul El-Sayed, who would be the first Muslim member of the Senate, as one of the “Dumocrat Jihadists”, called him “Mohammed”, a misspelling of a middle name he does not go by, and wrote “Mohammed’s Values are not exactly those of Michiganders, or those of our Great United States of America!” On 8 October, the day after a terrorism charge over a planned attack at the Mall of America, he wrote “The once Great State of Minnesota is being taken over by Somali Immigrants. There is Violence, Murder, and Mayhem all over the State. The people of Minnesota must fight back.” We code it threatening, and the script it anchors, violence and rape assigned to migrant and origin groups as a class, is scored with harm potential at 4. On 6 October Bezalel Smotrich, Israel’s finance minister, told the National Conservatism conference in Jerusalem that “Palestinian nationalism is a fiction, invented at the beginning of the last century”; we code that denial that Palestinian people exist as a people hateful, in the script casting Palestinian identity as invented. Rupert Lowe carries items in six scripts, more than any other officeholder, among them “large swathes of our capital city resemble a third world shithole” and a promise to “put the very worst of these Afghan criminals to death”. Nigel Farage, who leads Reform UK, carries the invasion script from “Our nation is being invaded.” on 5 October, the morning after about 350 people gathered at Gosport to try to stop a landing, to “Only Reform will end the invasion of our country forever.” on 10 October. Lee Anderson, a sitting MP, wrote “Labour give leaflets to illegal migrants to ask them not to rape our women and children”. Geert Wilders, who leads a party in the Dutch parliament, demanded that Ukrainian and Syrian people get out of the Netherlands, and Maxime Bernier, who leads a federal party in Canada, asked over a crowd of Indian men in Brampton “Are we in India ?” Beside them, the heaviest named carrier is a commentator account: RadioGenoa supplies more confirmed items than any other account. The polarization instrument recorded the El-Sayed arena among its three W1 cards, at 4.2 CPS, and marked it ignited on the President’s two posts, which this ledger holds. Its carriers are Mike Rogers, who tied El-Sayed’s donors to Hamas, Hezbollah and al-Qaeda at their first debate, and accounts reading his donors and his family as proof that he is a danger. There the carriers argue association; in the President’s posts his faith is the charge.
The third anniversary of the 7 October attack anchors four scripts, more than any other event in the record. jacksonhinkle answered footage of Yahya Sinwar, who planned the attack, with “LONG LIVE SINWAR!” on 6 October and a quoted statement of his with “Hero!” on 8 October. Board threads celebrated the attack, and a separate set the deaths in Gaza, beside LauraLoomer’s “Happy Gaza Parking lot day.” ConceptualJames wrote that day of the people of Gaza that “Israelis and Jews are simply better people than they are.”, and LauraLoomer called Palestinian people “Savages.” The French school protests run through several scripts, from the President’s post to visegrad24’s “Second- and third-generation migrants in France, in the name of a better education, are setting fire to schools”, TRobinsonNewEra’s “invader youth” and RadioGenoa’s scare quotes on “French” students. After the Eden Prairie shooting and the Mall of America charge, Somali people in Minnesota and the United States appear in five scripts, from Geiger_Capital’s “There is no magic soil. A nation is simply it’s people.” to LauraLoomer’s deportation demands. In Britain the Gosport landing and the Holborn and St Pancras by-election drew the invasion, belonging and removal scripts, and LozzaFox answered a report on Sagal Abdi-Wali, the new MP, with “Spoiler alert. She’s not British.” The hidden-control script holds 52 items, 41 of them board threads, among them a recurring Ukraine war thread whose standing opening post makes posters affirm that Israel controls the NATO Council. The boards carry four scripts against Indian and Hindu people, from calls for their killing to vermin labels, ruin by presence and mockery, several answering the H-1B visa suspension. The Cornell case, where the accuser’s lawyer said on 8 October that she was receiving death threats, drew board threads about women as a sex, among them a pasted stock text boasting of rape and a thread that tried to identify the accuser. By arena, 266 items are directed across borders, 155 at the United States, 128 at Britain, 75 at France, 34 at Belgium, 13 at Spain, 12 at Germany, 9 each at Canada and Italy, 4 at the Netherlands, 3 at Ukraine, 2 at Sweden and 1 each at Poland, Denmark, Latvia and Ireland, which accounts for all 714.
The events that drew nothing we could code are recorded beside the ones that did. Five of the 23 drew no confirmed item: Quebec’s election of 5 October, which returned the Parti Quebecois to power, the court order that followed Tennessee’s failed execution, the election of an Alternative for Germany member as speaker of the Saxony-Anhalt parliament, the death in Madrid of an evicted elderly tenant whose case Vox turned against the government, and the European Parliament’s vote urging terror listings for people and groups linked to the Muslim Brotherhood. Fourteen more drew confirmed items inside scripts anchored elsewhere or as individual hits, and the weather board gives them.
Limitations this week
This record runs from Monday 5 October to Sunday 11 October, and the latest post in it is stamped 23:59 UTC on Sunday 11 October. It closes with a walk of the roster on Monday 12 October, which read the X handles the nightly pull list had not read. The nightly X pulls of 5 and 6 October were skipped: posts dated those days from handles on the pull list come from later pulls, and the walk read the other handles’ posts for those days on 12 October. 17 of the 152 roster X handles carry no post dated in the window. Bluesky and the boards ran thin on 9 and 10 October, and a board thread that opened and died between two reads of its board is missed. The drift gauge drew its sample before the walk. The Limitations set out what each of these means for a reading of this page. We name no private individual on this page apart from four people charged or convicted in widely reported court cases, Lindsay Clancy, Nidal Hasan, Christa Pike and Joshua Kerry, and we leave unnamed the Cornell accuser, the men said to be accused and the women misidentified as her, the officer and the man shot in the Bronx, the defendant and the attacker in the Tumbler Ridge case, and the man charged in the Mall of America case.
Scripts by priority score (EPS)
Click a bar for the full scorecards.
The week's weather, day by day
One dot per trigger event. Filled dots mark the four events a scored script cites as its trigger; hollow dots mark the rest, and fourteen of those drew confirmed items elsewhere on the ledger. Click for the full board.
The 714 items, by harm level
Click for the full ledger.
On the radar
Click a date for the full calendar and the patterns building toward it.
01 · The scripts
Five factors are scored from 1 to 5: reach, toxicity, coordination, mainstreaming risk, and harm potential. Each item that joins a script is assigned to exactly one, with overlaps adjudicated on the dominant predicate; the 56 items that match no script stand alone and appear on the ledger as individual hits. A script’s canonical claim is its shared core predicate, and escalation clauses, a removal remedy or an endorsement of force, are stated with the count of posts that carry them. Their composite Ember Priority Score (EPS) is shown on a chart running from 0 to 5; the axis starts at 0 for display, and the score itself cannot fall below 1. Click one for its scorecard. Peak EPS this week is 3.6, shared by three scripts: members of opposing political camps marked for death, execution or mass imprisonment; native populations described as replaced, with removal offered as the answer; and Muslim presence read as a takeover. No script reached the top tier, and the median of the 41 ranked scripts sits at 2.8. Of those 41, 13 stand in the second tier and 28 in the third. The 8 scripts whose reach is unmeasured rank in a list of their own, 3 of them in the second tier, 2 in the third and 3 at the bottom. Our anchors set harm potential at 5 where a script holds a concrete call for violence against a defined group, and any script at 5 takes a second-tier minimum whatever its computed score. Every script holding an item adjudicated at the calling-for-violence rung sits at 5, ten scripts in all, and one of them, the praise of violence against migrant housing, holds only calls that rest on a stated inference. Six of the ten compute into the second tier, and four take the tier from the minimum: the script marking gay, lesbian and transgender people for punishment, which one post by a former Senate nominee carries to X, and three scripts carried by board threads alone. Toxicity anchors at 4 for sustained othering and at 5 for explicit dehumanizing metaphor or called-for harm across the script, and 20 scripts sit at 5, among them every script that asks for killing or removal and the scripts placing Indian and Hindu people, Black people, non-white people, women, men and political camps below the human. Mainstreaming risk reaches 5 on 11 scripts, where a head of state, a minister, a party leader, a sitting member of parliament or the owner of X carries the claim in his own words, sits at 4 on 17 scripts carried by large accounts that bridge into wider audiences and at 3 on 13, and sits at 1 on the 8 scripts that live on the boards alone. Reach reads platform-reported figures where a platform publishes them. Where a head of state’s posts reach the record through published reports with no counter, reach reads the office and the national pickup. Reach is an input on the 41 ranked scripts alone: 15 sit at 4, 16 at 3, 8 at 2 and 2 at 1. Coordination sits at 1 on every one of the 49 scripts, and every script carries the verdict no coordination identified: we found no bridge account, no named hub and no directive on any of them, and we did not document independent origin either, which is what an organic parallel verdict would take. What the record holds is convergence: accounts repeating their own constructions, one-way relays such as three accounts’ take-up of the President’s France post, one German crime figure posted by two accounts a day apart, posts clustering on an event’s clock, one slur for MAGA supporters on board threads opened the same day, and recurring board threads reopening their own opening posts at new addresses. None of that establishes coordination or independent origin under our rules. 11 scripts sit within 0.15 of a tier edge and carry a boundary mark, which names one factor and the score a one-step move in it would give. Six marks name a coordination step from 1 to 2, which would take a documented link between accounts that no script carries this week: on four of them, the invasion frame, Palestinian people ranked worthless, political camps placed below the human and Palestinian identity cast as invented, the step would carry the score from 2.9 to 3.3, into the second tier, and on two board-only scripts the published score already stands at the 2.0 edge and the step moves it to 2.3 within the third tier. Five marks name a step down in harm potential, which would put the denial of belonging by descent, the violence assigned to Muslim people and third-world essentialism in the third tier, and the mockery of Indian people and lying assigned to Jewish people in the bottom tier. Ember stages run from a script confined to a fringe surface to one carried by mainstream media or answered institutionally, and this week 11 scripts sit at S6, 4 at S5, 26 at S4 and 8 at S3.
02 · The ledger
Click a row for the quote, the coding and the source. Every row carries its coding, and every row outside the identification bar carries its quote and its source. The ledger counts one item to a url, and where two independent codings of one url disagreed, the less severe coding stands: no hit is the default and the burden sits on the harm call. The rungs run stigmatizing 370, hateful 150, biased 83, calling for violence 47, threatening 42 and glorifying violence 22. Medium is the most common coding confidence, and each item’s detail gives its own. In the captured ledger the dates run heaviest on 7 October, the anniversary, and lightest on Saturday 10 October. Five items reach the record through published reports: four posts by the President on Truth Social, reported by Newsweek, TheWrap and Just the News, and Bezalel Smotrich’s conference remarks, reported by Responsible Statecraft. Each takes the date of the post or the speech. X posts supply most of the ledger and the two boards most of the rest; the boards carry no handles and no view counts, so a board row gives its board and nothing more. Six rows come from accounts off our roster that reached the record through Bluesky, and under our identification bar they are shown without the account or the wording; one board row on the Cornell case is shown without its link. Where a quoted row holds a slur, the slur is described in brackets and never spelled.
03 · The week's weather
Together the events show which stories these narratives picked up before this record closed and which drew no confirmed harm item. The board marks an event as drawing a reaction when a scored script cites it as its trigger, and four events meet that test, three of them posts by the President. His post of 6 October on France’s school protests anchors the conquest script, the recast of the protests as the work of people of migrant descent, and a script assigning violence to Black people as a group. The third anniversary of the 7 October attack anchors four scripts: the celebration of the killing of Jewish people, Palestinian people ranked worthless, the attack assigned to Palestinian people as a whole, and the celebration of deaths in Gaza. His posts on Abdul El-Sayed anchor the disloyalty script, and his Minnesota post of 8 October anchors the script assigning crime to migrant and origin groups as a class. Fourteen more events drew confirmed items inside scripts anchored elsewhere or as individual hits, and the board marks them with hollow dots beside the events that drew nothing. The Gosport landing drew Nigel Farage’s “Our nation is being invaded.”, Rupert Lowe’s prison pledge, JackPosobiec’s posts calling the landings replacement and a board thread crediting a Jewish backer with paying for the scene. The Mall of America charge drew items in seven scripts, among them LauraLoomer’s call for the President’s Muslim ban and Geiger_Capital’s scare quotes around “Minnesota man”. The Holborn and St Pancras by-election drew denials that the new MP is British and Rupert Lowe’s polling-day posts. The Flydubai findings drew LauraLoomer’s demands that Muslim people be barred from flying planes and a board demand for the mass deportation of Muslim people. The National Conservatism conference carried Bezalel Smotrich’s denial and TRobinsonNewEra’s “Traitors will pay when we win.”, posted as he thanked an Israeli minister for praise from its stage. The New York mayor’s anniversary statement drew ConceptualJames’s reply assigning the attack to Palestinian people and jacksonhinkle’s declared indifference to the Israeli dead. The President’s remark that Iran could take out Los Angeles or San Diego drew a board thread begging Iran to take California for the gay and Black people who live there, both named by slurs. The plan to execute Nidal Hasan by firing squad at Fort Hood and stream it drew sneako’s post calling it war propaganda in an antisemitic phrase he uses repeatedly, and a board thread praising Hasan. The seventh Fairford arrest drew LauraLoomer’s “Ban Islam from the West!”; the Tumbler Ridge charge drew AuronMacintyre’s post casting transgender people as driven to kill; the terrorism hearing that lists Nigel Farage among the alleged targets drew NickTenconi’s post casting the British left as violent; the Bronx immigration shooting drew LauraLoomer’s line on self-deportation; and the Green Party’s vote on Zionism, after which Israel barred its leader Zack Polanski, drew JaydaBF’s reply to a post about the vote, which assigns mass sexual abuse to foreign men. Five events drew no confirmed item at all: Quebec’s election, the court order after Tennessee’s failed execution, the Saxony-Anhalt speaker vote, the death of the evicted Madrid tenant and the European Parliament’s Muslim Brotherhood vote. Six items carried onto the watchlist from earlier weeks were recorded as not recurring: Alberta’s referendum and the Free Palestine concert run, which fall after the window and are carried forward; the Clancy case and the Channel dinghy case, whose next hearings fall on 2 and 12 November; the Vice President’s line at Lakeland, which had no new step; and RadioGenoa’s stated trial in Rome, for which we found no report of a hearing. A quiet reading means that no confirmed item in this record touches the event.
04 · On the radar
The first list holds the patterns still moving when this record closed, each with the step that would change its reading. The second holds dated events after the close, from the royal visit to Ceuta on 13 October through the date named in the Mall of America complaint, 24 October, the American midterm elections on 3 November and Spain’s snap election on 29 November, to the execution planned at Fort Hood on 3 December. Each event is listed with the scripts that attached to its arena in this record, and where no confirmed item touches the event or its arena, the entry says so. Both lists describe what this record holds.
Each line below compares one narrative with itself a week earlier. The join is a key ruled when the narrative was carded, and similarity between the two weeks’ text plays no part in it. Thirty of the 49 scripts continue a ruled lineage and 19 open a new one, among them the praise of violence against migrant housing, gay, lesbian and transgender people marked for punishment or death and a plague-and-poison plot assigned to Jewish people. Five of the new lineages sit beside a chain carded last week and carry a different claim, so each opens its own chain: the celebration of the killing of Jewish people, Palestinian people ranked worthless, control of the United States assigned to Israeli people, non-white people placed below the human and Indian presence as ruin. The script assigning hidden control to Jewish people continues the longest chain in the record, opened in the last week of July, and holds the third tier with the same five factor values as last week, and the replacement and removal script holds the second tier at 3.6 with the same values as last week. The script on political camps continues its chain in the second tier: it was scored at reach 4 against 2 and mainstreaming 5 against 3, on Elon Musk’s post and Rupert Lowe’s pledges, and computes into the tier where last week it took the tier from the harm minimum. Five scripts were scored in a different tier, three in a higher tier and two in a lower one. The script assigning crime to migrant and origin groups as a class was scored in the second tier this week against the third last week, with reach, toxicity and harm potential at 4 against 3, on the President’s Minnesota post. The script welcoming the deaths of Russian people was scored in the second tier against the bottom tier, with toxicity at 5 against 4 and harm potential at 5 against 3, on the board proposal of 11 October, and takes the tier from the minimum. The mockery of Indian people was scored in the third tier against the bottom tier: a RadioGenoa post carries it to X in this record, where last week board threads alone carried it, which puts a reach figure into its score and mainstreaming at 3 against 1. Going the other way, the recast of the French school protests was scored in the third tier against the second, with reach at 4 against 5 and toxicity and harm potential at 3 against 4. The script assigning the 7 October attack to Palestinian people was scored in the third tier against the second, with toxicity and harm potential at 3 against 5; this week’s posts carry the chain’s collective-guilt half and none its expulsion half. Sixteen of last week’s chains are not carded in this record, among them the execution demand in the French unrest, migrant contamination, the end of the Jewish presence, Black Americans cast as the face of welfare dependency, the annihilation of white and European peoples and men as a sex called rapists. Nine of them had named X carriers, and each of those carriers posted in this window; the other seven were carried by board threads alone. The Muslim deception chain’s one item this week is an individual hit. In this record the President carries three scripts, the owner of X the traitor’s-fate line, Israel’s finance minister the claim that Palestinian identity is invented, and party leaders and sitting members of parliament in Britain, the Netherlands, Belgium and Canada carry the invasion frame, the removal demand and ruin by presence.
05 · Method
This is a purposive, outcome-selected monitoring sample framed by a 1,034-account roster spanning 23 ideological categories. The roster is the frame we track, and the collection combines the X timelines of the roster’s handles, the Bluesky feeds we follow with a network search beside them, two 4chan boards, /pol/ and /g/, and a news table. On X the collector reads a nightly pull list, and before the record closes a walk reads every other roster handle back to the start of the window; this week the walk ran on Monday 12 October. Roster and board collection is systematic within those limits; off-roster discovery is opportunistic and incomplete, and this week it consists of five items quoted in published reports, four posts by the President and one minister’s conference remarks, and six items that reached the record through Bluesky. A hit is language about a group defined by who its members are, or about a political camp as a class of people, said of the group as a whole in the poster’s own voice. Each confirmed item is coded at the most severe of six rungs, and the rungs follow the written rung definitions of our methodology. Biased states a negative trait of the group that stops short of danger or lesser worth. Stigmatizing presents the group as a danger or a problem to be managed, including immigration framed as invasion or as degradation by contact. Hateful treats the group as lesser or as not belonging, including the denial that its members belong to the nation. Threatening warns the group that harm will come to it, or demands that it be silent, hide or leave, without itself asking for the harm. Glorifying violence celebrates harm already done to the group or praises the people who did it. Calling for violence asks for harm to come to the group or sets conditions for it: violence, killing, expulsion by force, or a “solution” to its presence. On the expulsion line, a named program of compulsory removal by origin, such as remigration or the mass deportation of a named people, sits at calling for violence; a demand or warning that a group leave, naming no program, sits at threatening; and a mass-deportation demand that names no origin removes people by status and sits below the top rung. A coder may supply the step that makes an item hostile to a group when the words alone do not carry it, and records what was supplied and from what context. A ranking classifier scores the screened posts for how likely each is to clear the bar. Every post it rates 0.7 or above is decided by a hunter, and every decline is checked again. A second reading runs over the posts it rated 0.7 or above that no hunt coded, and this week it confirmed 36 items. A verifier tests every hit. A drift gauge re-codes a sample of the confirmed ledger blind each week: this week two blind passes re-coded a sample of 120 confirmed items, and agreed with each other on the exact rung 92 percent of the time and with the published coding 78 and 79 percent of the time. This instrument states whether an item cleared our harm bar. It makes no legal finding in any jurisdiction, and the countries on this ledger do not share one standard. Every hit rests on a dated source read in full at collection. Where the source was still live, the quote was checked against it; where it had already gone offline, which covers the board threads and one Bluesky post, the check ran against our collection record. Language of these kinds does not clear our harm bar: claims about a class defined by conduct; the word Islamist used as a political label; institutions as targets; criticism of named individuals over their own acts, including a defendant who is a private individual and never a proxy for a group; captions whose target sits in a video we could not view; stock partisan idiom; and bare statements of dislike. The ledger holds 714 items across 714 distinct urls, one item per url. Research and drafting run through Claude under this methodology; every published classification passes the documented verification chain, and Jerm holds final editorial responsibility. 29 items this week cleared the extremism branch of our gate, which covers a political camp cast as subhuman, as a criminal class, or as a body to be removed, imprisoned or destroyed, among them Elon Musk’s quote post, Rupert Lowe’s prison pledges, board threads that mark communists and MAGA supporters for violence or execution, LauraLoomer’s posts casting the Democratic Party as a party of jihad, JackPosobiec’s and NaomiSeibt’s labels for the left as less than human and as parasites, and OccupyDemocrats’ posts calling the President’s supporters a braying horde and protectors of pedophiles. Five of the 29 sit at calling for violence and seven at threatening. Every other confirmed item concerns a group defined by who its members are, as our methodology lists them. Items from other directions are coded under the same standard: board threads casting white people as a lesser race, men as non-human and Christian people as subhuman, a board call for the killing of American people, and a Bluesky reply asking that Israeli people be killed as a group.
The roster is the frame we track, and the collection combines the handles on our lists, the two boards, a Bluesky network search and a news table. Every number here is computed from the roster file, the handle lists and the collection database for the window of 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11.
| Source | Handles on our lists | Handles collected | Handles that returned a post | Posts collected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| X | 152 (46 matched to a roster category) | 136 | 135 | 7,850 |
| Bluesky | 52 (4 matched to a roster category) | 732 | 697 | 5,821 |
| 4chan boards | not applicable | 2 | 2 | 2,129 |
| News outlets | not applicable | 472 | 245 | 329 |
The roster holds 1,034 accounts across 23 categories, and 136 of them sit in more than one category, so the category column below counts more accounts than the roster holds. Handles collected counts the handles that stored a post by the collection that closed the record on 12 October, in both tables, and handles that returned a post counts those with a post dated in the window. A handle can return a post dated in the window that was stored after the record closed, so returned can exceed collected. A handle the collector read that returned nothing leaves no row. The Bluesky collector also runs a network search beyond the handles we track, so its collected count exceeds its list; the X collector reads only the handles listed.
| Roster category | Accounts |
|---|---|
| Anti-Establishment, Socialist and Anti-War Media | 74 |
| Great Replacement and White Nationalist Accounts | 73 |
| Far-Right, Nationalist and Culture War Figures | 65 |
| Pro-Israel and Zionist Accounts | 65 |
| Alternative Media, Sovereign and Conspiracy Theorists | 63 |
| Far-Left, Anti-Imperialist and Communist Commentators | 62 |
| Pro-Immigration, Sanctuary and Migrant Rights Accounts | 58 |
| Anti-Semitic and Syncretic Conspiracy Accounts | 56 |
| Black Radical, Pan-Africanist and Marxist-Leninist Factions | 56 |
| Islamophobic, Anti-Islam and Counter-Jihad Accounts | 56 |
| Anti-Establishment Tech, Finance and Geopolitical Dissidents | 55 |
| Anti-Illegal Immigration and Border Nationalist Accounts | 55 |
| Anti-China and Dissident Accounts | 50 |
| Pro-China and State-Affiliated Media Accounts | 49 |
| Extreme Christian Nationalist and Dominionist Accounts | 47 |
| Anti-Vaccine and Medical-Freedom Extremist Accounts | 46 |
| Anarchist, Eco-Radical and Left-Libertarian Organizers | 45 |
| Radical Islamist and Salafi-Jihadist Ideologue Accounts | 44 |
| Pro-Feminist and Intersectionality Accounts | 43 |
| The Manosphere and Red Pill Ecosystem | 41 |
| Anti-Feminist, Traditionalist and Counter-Feminist Accounts | 39 |
| Anti-Christian, Militant Atheist and Secularist Accounts | 38 |
| Anti-Technology and Anti-AI Extremist Accounts | 26 |
The table below sorts the 46 of 152 X handles we can match to a roster category by name, and a handle on more than one category is counted in each. The other 106 are handles our records hold without a category, and they are collected and read the same way. 14 categories returned an X post this week.
| Roster category | X handles matched | Collected | Returned a post | Posts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islamophobic, Anti-Islam and Counter-Jihad Accounts | 8 | 8 | 8 | 1,024 |
| Anti-Illegal Immigration and Border Nationalist Accounts | 12 | 12 | 12 | 947 |
| Great Replacement and White Nationalist Accounts | 7 | 6 | 6 | 514 |
| Far-Right, Nationalist and Culture War Figures | 12 | 11 | 11 | 466 |
| Alternative Media, Sovereign and Conspiracy Theorists | 2 | 1 | 1 | 243 |
| Anti-Establishment, Socialist and Anti-War Media | 5 | 5 | 5 | 139 |
| Far-Left, Anti-Imperialist and Communist Commentators | 5 | 4 | 4 | 100 |
| Pro-Israel and Zionist Accounts | 3 | 3 | 3 | 73 |
| Pro-China and State-Affiliated Media Accounts | 4 | 4 | 4 | 58 |
| The Manosphere and Red Pill Ecosystem | 1 | 1 | 1 | 56 |
| Extreme Christian Nationalist and Dominionist Accounts | 2 | 2 | 2 | 52 |
| Anti-Establishment Tech, Finance and Geopolitical Dissidents | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
| Anti-Semitic and Syncretic Conspiracy Accounts | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
| Pro-Immigration, Sanctuary and Migrant Rights Accounts | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Anarchist, Eco-Radical and Left-Libertarian Organizers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
The record. This record runs from Monday 5 October to Sunday 11 October, and the latest post in it is stamped 23:59 UTC on Sunday 11 October. It closes with a walk of the roster on Monday 12 October, which read the X handles the nightly pull list had not read. Posts stamped early on 11 October UTC were written on Saturday evening in North American time.
Comparison with last week. The lines that compare a script with its chain a week earlier set two records side by side. The number of scripts, items and calls in each depends on that week’s events and on how its items were grouped, and a difference between the two says nothing about the direction of the discourse. A narrative can be absent because it lost its carriers, because it did not clear the bar in this window or because our collection did not surface it, and these records cannot separate those.
How the X record was collected. X is read two ways. The nightly pull list holds a fixed core of handles and the roster handles named in the past seven days of our news table, so its membership moves through the week; it held 32 handles at the close. The walk of 12 October read every other roster handle back to 5 October. 135 of the 152 roster X handles carry a post dated in the window and 17 carry none, and no script in this record, or chain it continues from last week, rests on any of those 17. 14 of the roster’s 23 categories returned an X post. The nightly pulls of 5 and 6 October were skipped, and the pull of 7 October reached 24 of the 32 handles then on the list. Each pull reads back to the handle’s last stored post, so posts dated 5 and 6 October from handles on the pull list come from later pulls, and a post deleted before its handle was next read is absent. Each pull reads at most 200 posts per handle, and one handle, CNBC, stopped at that cap on 8 October, so its count is a floor on captured posts; it carries no confirmed item. The X collection reads each handle’s own posts, quote posts among them, and leaves out its replies and reposts, so carriage that lives in reply threads is absent; Elon Musk’s post on the peak script is a quote post.
Bluesky and the boards. Bluesky and the boards ran thin on 9 and 10 October, when the scheduled collection ran late and took Friday and Saturday together. A board is read from its catalog, so a thread that opened and died between two reads is missed, and the board items on this ledger are a lower bound on the qualifying threads those boards carried. Five items come from Bluesky and a sixth, an X post from an account outside our roster, reached the record through a Bluesky share. Bluesky publishes no impression count and the shared post’s record holds none, so the six add nothing to any reach figure.
Impressions. Platform-reported impression counts are capture-time platform counters, and they can rise after we read them. Each figure is the counter as it stood when we read it. For the walked handles that was 12 October, up to a week after posting, and for the pull list it was the next nightly pull, so counters on the two parts of the X record were read at different ages. A counter tallies displays of a post, so one reader can account for several displays, and a script’s audience can sit above or below its sum. The 60,128,597 figure sums the 49 scripts; the 56 items outside them are not in it, and board threads, Bluesky posts and the five report-borne items add nothing to it.
Reach reads platform figures where a platform publishes them. The 4chan corpus has no view counts and no persistent handles, so board items add nothing to a script’s reach, and any comparison of captured impression counters on this page ranks X carriage only. The 8 scripts that no named carrier touched are scored on their four measurable factors and ranked in their own list, outside the peak, the median and the ranked table. Where a head of state’s posts reach the record through published reports with no counter, reach reads the office and the national pickup: the President’s four posts carry no impression count, so the El-Sayed script’s reach of 4 reads a head of state’s posts carried on Truth Social and by two national outlets. Every report-borne item rests on the report’s quotation and our record of it.
A few accounts carry much of the named ledger. RadioGenoa supplies more confirmed items than any other account, across 15 scripts, and TRobinsonNewEra and LauraLoomer the next most, across 14 and 10. LauraLoomer, TRobinsonNewEra and Steve_Laws_ supply 15 of the 27 calls for violence from accounts on X and Bluesky. Where one account supplies most of a script, the script’s volume and reach describe that account’s output, and a change in its posting, or in our collection of it, would move the script further than any change in the discourse around it.
Coding is a judgment. The blind re-code, drawn across all six rungs and coded twice, agreed with itself 94 percent of the time within one rung, and with the published coding 83 and 85 percent of the time within one. Where a fresh coder differed from the published coding, it placed the item lower on the ladder more often than higher, and each coder found no hit in 8 of the 120. Items coded through a recorded inference reproduced less well than items whose hostility sits in the words, since a step that rests on an image, a thread or a carrier’s earlier posts does not travel with the text alone. The gauge drew its 120 items from the 225 items confirmed on posts collected up to early on Sunday 11 October UTC, so every item confirmed after that, among them everything the walk added, is outside its sample. Each item’s detail gives its coding confidence.
Reading and verification. Every decline was read a second time. For posts dated Monday to Saturday outside the walk, a second reader read each decline and no verifier re-checked it, so the ledger can miss qualifying items from those days; for posts dated Sunday and for the walked posts, a verifier re-checked every decline. This week a second reading also covered the walked posts the classifier rated 0.5 to 0.7, with five posts a verifier flagged, and confirmed 28 items; posts from the nightly pull list rated 0.5 to 0.7 had no second reading, so the ledger can miss qualifying items among them.
The identification bar. Private individuals are never named on this page, apart from Lindsay Clancy, Nidal Hasan, Christa Pike and Joshua Kerry, people charged or convicted in widely reported court cases, and no quote that would identify one is published. Several arenas this week turned on private individuals: the Cornell accuser, whom commentators and board threads worked to identify, the men said to be accused and the women misidentified as her; the officer and the man shot in the Bronx; the defendant and the attacker in the Tumbler Ridge case; the man charged in the Mall of America case and his family; the people arrested in the RAF Fairford investigation; the people in the Salford video; the man whose death at a wildlife park one post rewrote; the person accused in the post Lauren Witzke quoted; and the juror at the center of the Clancy motion. Where an item concerns one of them, the ledger quotes the carrier’s words about the group, and none of our own text identifies the person. Items that reached us through Bluesky are shown without the account or the wording, since either would identify the account.
Coordination is two readings that answer different questions. The coordination factor measures degree of organization on the 1 to 5 anchors and moves above 1 only on a documented link between accounts: a bridge account, phrasing copied along a documented path, or a named hub. The coordination verdict requires a confirmed bridge account, a named hub or an arrangement, and convergence alone never reaches it. Every one of the 49 scripts carries no coordination identified and a coordination factor of 1: we found no bridge, no hub and no directive, and we did not document independent origin either. On an anonymous board, one actor and an organized handful cannot be told apart, and each convergence signal becomes a coordination check if a linking account appears.
The news layer. The news table holds 329 in-window rows and no general American politics beat, so the American arenas on the weather board rest on publisher articles read directly and on the posts table. The Cornell case, the attacks on Abdul El-Sayed, the Fort Hood execution plan and the President’s Minnesota post show the shape of that gap: each appears in posts and has almost no coverage in our news table. The event scan ran at about 03:00 UTC on Sunday 11 October and records no event dated after 8 October, so the weather board shows no event from 9 to 11 October.
No hit-rate or prevalence claim here may be read as a comparison across ideological lanes. That comparison requires a lane-tier sample for every lane compared, over a common platform footprint. We did not draw that sample this week.
Five factors, each scored 1 to 5: reach (R), toxicity (T), coordination (C), mainstreaming risk (M), and harm potential (H). They combine as (R·T·C·M1.3·H1.5)1/5.8: multiply all five, with mainstreaming risk raised to the 1.3 power and harm potential to the 1.5 power because those two carry the most real-world weight, then take the 5.8th root. The 5.8 is the sum of the weights, which brings the result back onto the 1-to-5 scale. Multiplication limits how far any one factor can lift a score. One override runs the other way: any script at H=5 takes a second-tier minimum regardless of its computed score. Our anchors set H=5 at a concrete, explicit call for violence against a defined target, at a concrete target with a place or a time and mobilization, or at violence already carried out, and every script that holds an item adjudicated at the calling-for-violence rung sits there, including one whose calls rest on a stated inference. The minimum keeps a small account that asks for violence against a defined group from scoring its way into the bottom tier. Ten scripts reach H=5 this week, and 4 of them take their tier from that minimum. Tiers rank scripts only. The 56 items that match no script sit outside the ranking and carry no score and no tier; four of them sit at the calling-for-violence rung, and as individual hits they carry no score. Tier edges: the top tier starts at 4.0, the second at 3.0, the third at 2.0. Scores are published to one decimal place, and the tier reads off the published figure. A score that lands within 0.15 of a tier edge is marked at the boundary, and the mark names a single factor and the score a one-step move in it would give; 11 scripts are marked this week, and on nine of them the step would carry the score across an edge. Reach is the one factor a board-only script cannot supply: an anonymous board publishes no impression count, so a script carried only by board threads is scored on its four measurable factors as (T·C·M1.3·H1.5)1/4.8, marked reach unmeasured, and ranked in a list of its own, away from the scripts whose reach was read. Coordination as a factor reaches the co-platforming and network anchors on a named hub or a confirmed bridge, and a script can score above 1 on the factor and still carry no coordination identified as its verdict; no script scored above 1 on it this week.
Full-schema agreement: 78% as of 2026-07-27